Having struck the last nail in the coffin of the
Public Sector Banks (PSBs), the government is all set to bury them. Following
IMF instructions, the Bill for the privatisation of banks was passed in the
winter session of the Lok Sabha. The Banking Companies (Acquisition and Transfer
of Undertaking) and Financial Institution Laws (Amendment) Bill 2000, was passed
in the Lok Sabha by 209 votes to 159. The Bill provides for the drastic
reduction in government equity (shares) in PSBs to a mere 33% from the existing
"not less than 51%".
Major foreign banks have been hovering over these
PSBs like vultures, waiting to swoop in for the kill. Banks like the HSBC (Hongkong
and Shanghai Corp. Bank), Standard Chartered and Citibank have openly expressed
their intentions of acquiring Indian banks "when the laws of the land
permit." This is quite natural, as these PSBs, with insignificant equity
capital, hold gigantic deposits of the public. So, with a small amount of funds,
these TNCs can grab control of the huge savings of the Indian public.
It is a gigantic betrayal of the national
interests, taking Indian banking a full circle, putting it back into the direct
hands of the imperialists. The ‘Imperial Bank’ of the colonial era will return,
with changed names and faces, in a new form.
The immediate fallout is the government instruction
for the removal of over 10% of the employees. It is estimated that by March 31,
2001, roughly 12% of the 9 lakh employees will accept the VRS (Voluntary
Retirement Scheme) package and leave — i.e., an employee reduction of 1½ lakhs
!!
The government claim that it will retain control
even after dilution of equity to 33%, just because it will retain the power to
appoint the CMD (Chairman cum Managing Director), is an outright hoax. In the
new establishment out of 15 directors on the board, 10 will be from the private
sector. The CMD will therefore remain a mere puppet in the hands of this brute
majority. So, after gaining control of these PSBs, with a few crore investment,
they will take control of their vast deposits.
The chart, of a few PSBs, in the next column, shows
how lucrative this purchase will be.
So, to take an example of the Bank of Baroda.
Assuming the government at present owns 60% of the equity, if this is to be
reduced to 33% through dilution of capital, it would mean an infusion of an
additional Rs. 182 crores. So any big business house or TNC by investing barely
Rs. 100 to Rs. 150 crore can gain control of the huge deposits of Rs. 51,306
crores. Besides, in the year 2000 market capitalisation of these PSBs have
dropped drastically — by as much as 30% to 45%. In other words the banks can be
taken-over at even lower rates.
Bank
|
Paid
up Capital as on March 31, 2000
Rs.
Crores
|
Deposits
Rs.
Crores
|
Percentage
of Capital
to Deposits
|
State
Bank of India
|
526
|
1,96,821
|
0.3%
|
Bank
of Baroda
|
224
|
51,306
|
0.44%
|
Oriental
Bank of Commerce
|
193
|
22,095
|
0.9%
|
Central
Bank
|
1,806
|
35,872
|
5%
|
UCO
Bank
|
2,255
|
18,360
|
12%
|
In the first instance, those that are likely to
take control of the PSBs are those big business houses which owe the banks
massive debts, euphemistically called non-performing assets (NPAs). Once they
take-over the banks, with their majority on the board of directors, they can
write-off these loans as bad debts. The amount entailed is a gigantic Rs. 1 lakh
crores (The official figure is Rs. 58,554 crores, but this does not include the
accrued interest), of which it is estimated that one-third is owed by 15
big-business houses. Attempts to get the defaulters names public has been so far
suppressed by a secrecy clause stipulated in the RBI Act, 1934.
Once these NPAs are written off and the banks
‘restructured’ through big pay-offs in the VRS scheme, they become ideal prey
for the TNCs who will gobble them up through so-called "strategic partnerships."
Imperial Bank, with any other name will stink as much.
But why have banks in Indian turned a full circle
from the British Imperial Bank of the colonial period, to the SBI of post-1947
India, to the nationalised banks of the 1970s and 1980s, and now to the move
towards private banking in the 1990s and its transfer back to imperialist
control in the new century ?
The revisionists falsely seek to portray the period
of nationalisation as progressive and socialistic, when infact each change in
the method of banking reflected the needs of the existing semi-feudal,
semi-colonial economy and the model of development chosen, that best suited the
interests of the ruling elite and of imperialism.
To take a brief look at this cycle of change :
Post-1947 Banking
Like the fake independence, the Imperial Bank,
merely changed its name to the State Bank of India (SBI), by the State Bank of
India Act 1952. In 1953 the Palai Central Bank collapsed. A similar fate faced
most of the banks run by the erstwhile maharajas, due to the large funds
siphoned off. To save these banks from default and to bail out the maharajas, 10
banks belonging to the princely states were taken over by the SBI in 1956 —
these included the State Banks of Patiala, Saurashtra, Bikaneer, Jaipur, Indore,
Baroda, Mysore, Hyderabad, Travancore .... and a number of smaller ones like
Sangli, Manipur, Mayurbanj, etc.
In the late 1950s the government appointed the
Mahalanobis Committee to look into the precarious conditions of the private
banks. The Report, besides handing out the standard formulae to reduce flab,
trim size, etc., it suggested the amalgamation of the less profit-making banks
with the others. This resulted in the number of banks being reduced from 605 in
1950; to 423 in 1956; to 292 in 1961, to 102 in 1966.... and on the eve of
nationalisation in 1969, to just 86.
Most of these banks that had existed were the
offshoots of local landlords/Maharajas or big traders and moneylenders who
sought to extend the scope of their financial activities.
Most were in a state of collapse, due to
irregularities and the take-overs by the SBI and mergers saved them from default
of depositor’s monies. Besides, in the new scenario, after 1947, the comprador
big bourgeoisie who became the dominating partner in the ruling class alliance,
could not allow the fiscal anarchy / profligacy of the
moneylender/landlord/trader combine and had to bring system into finance and
banking to tap resources to the maximum. That is why, 246 insurance companies
were also taken over in 1956, with the formation of the LIC.
And to organise fiscal controls more tightly as per
the goals set by the Tata-Birla Bombay Plan, nationalisation of the 14 major
banks became a necessity. Anyhow, if not nationalised, many of the private banks
would have collapsed. The 14 major banks nationalised out of the existing 86
banks, controlled 85% of banking in India. In 1980 another 6 banks were
nationalised to save them from collapse.
Bank Nationalisation
Bank nationalisation was not only necessary to bail
out the collapsing private banks, it was a key necessity to give the necessary
fiscal push to an economy that had reached the end of its teather.
First, big business required massive investments in
infrastructure if it was to grow. Lack of infrastructure and capital was leading
to stagnation and decline.
Nationalisation and the expansion of banking, was a necessary factor, to
systematically tap the people’s savings in order to generate the necessary
capital.
Second, the rural sector faced an agrarian crisis.
The widespread famine in 1967, and the Naxalbari uprising in the same year found
the rulers panic-stricken with the spectre of communism haunting them. The
PL-480 grain doles, had, by now got thoroughly discredited as a source for
funding CIA operations within the country. An alternative had to be found.
The ‘Green Revolution’ was their answer to
stem off a potential ‘Red Revolution’. Besides, imperialist agri-business
sought to switch their strategy from sale of grains (PL-480 style) to the
promotion of seeds, fertilisers, pesticides, tractors etc. The initiation of the
Green Revolution required certain amounts of seed capital, given on a
concessional (even free) basis to farmers, to encourage them to turn to the HYV
varieties. Such capital and widespread disbursement could best be achieved
through nationalised banking. So publicly raised funds were used to initiate the
imperialist sponsored green revolution. A vast network of rural banking was set
up, first to promote the green revolution; second to tap the surplus created to
channel it into savings for use by government/big business for infrastructural
development. By the mid-1970s, there were 196 RRBs, 24,000 cooperative
banks, 92,000 Primary Agricultural Credit Societies, 2966 lending units for
long-term credit and a host of other financial institutions for rural banking
like NABARD, etc.
Besides, linked to this, the focus for rural
development changed.... from asset generation to poverty alleviation.
This coincided with Indira Gandhi’s slogan of ‘Garibi Hatao’. While in
the first two decades focus was on irrigation, land development etc; now the
focus changed to poverty alleviation schemes like IRDP, Jawahar Rojgar Yojna,
Indira Vikas Yojna etc, etc. All these schemes were intricately linked with bank
lending and finance, necessitating a wide network of branches.
Both the Green revolution and so-called poverty
alleviation schemes (employment generation) were geared to extending the market
for commodities while keeping as much of the old semi-feudal relations in tact,
as was possible. It was also an instant solution to the Naxalite threat, by
immediate infusion of funds into the rural populace to prevent revolt.
That is why after nationalisation we see a vast
growth of banking within the country. The chart on the next page gives a picture
of that growth.
Here we see the vast amounts garnered by the
nationalised banks in the form of deposits, reaching over Rs. 7 lakh crores in
1999. The bulk of these funds continued to be cornered by the government and big
business. Credit to the priority sector, though increasing in absolute terms,
actually resulted in only a nominal increase of the total credit, in the three
decades of nationalisation — from 12.2% of the total in 1969 to just 14.4% of
the total in 1999.
Some
PSBs in India
|
|
1969
|
1999
|
Branches
|
8,262
|
45,696
|
Employees
|
2,20,000
|
9,65,720
|
Deposits
(Rs. Crores)
|
4,665
|
7,31,000
|
Total Credit
(Rs. Crores)
|
3,607
|
3,69,000
|
Of which Agricultural
|
162
|
21,204
|
Of which Priority Sector
|
441
|
53,197
|
So, nationalisation of banks, was eminently
successful in tapping people’s saving to create the capital for big business, to
usher in the green revolution for agri-business, to extend the market for the
comprador big bourgeoisie and imperialists; and to set up a vast network of
sarkari patronage/bureaucratic funding in the name of poverty alleviation. This
model of growth helped capitalist/imperialist penetration (not socialism as made
out by the revisionists) into the Indian economy. Also, with the growing impact
of socialism/national liberation worldwide, and the impact of the Naxalbari
uprising within India, the model helped to counter the threat of revolution.
Road Map to
Privatisation
In 1981 Indira Gandhi took the first IMF loan. One
of the first conditionalities implemented by the government was in the sphere of
banking. Immediately the government declared that nationalisation acts as a
disincentive to the growth of private banking; and that henceforth there will be
no further nationalisation of banks.
By 1984 new recruitment in the PSBs was stopped,
and restrictions were imposed of issuance of licences augmenting branch
expansion.
IMF RECOMMENDATIONS
: (DT 26-6-1990)
IN THE NEAR TERM
1. Reduce the budget deficit and start
lowering the cash reserve and statutory liquidity requirements with the
objective of bringing the combined ratio down to 30 percent in 3 years and
subsequently moving to market determined interest rates on government debt.
2. Recategorise immediately commercial
bank lending to larger borrowers among small-scale industrialists and farmers,
thus reducing the priority sector lending target to about 20 per cent.
Reduce further the
priority sector lending target to 10 per cent in 3 years.
3. Rationalise, introduce flexibility
in or liberalise immediately the following interest rates : development
finance institutions long-term lending rate : export loans and mortgages;
capital market debt issues; and accept the Agricultural Credit Review
Committee’s (ACRC) recommendations for concessional lending rates.
4. Give commercial banks operational
autonomy immediately and recapitalise them as needed after a portfolio
clean-up. Introduce higher prudential norms, supervision standards and
financial disclose requirement. Improve legal procedures for foreclosure and
sale or transfer of assets.
Allow competition
by easing private sector entry and expansion.
5. Allow greater financial and
operational autonomy to developmental financial institutions. Introduce
prudential guidelilnes and supervision system. Allow Private Sector entry in
investment banking and increased private sector participation in Industrial
Credit and Investment Corporation of India (ICICI), and
6. Introduce better regulations for
capital market transactions while decreasing direct control. Eliminate tax
preference for UTI and allow private sector mutual funds.
The recommendations
for priority sector lending recategorisation, interest rates and reform of
financial institutions can proceed immediately, independent of budget deficit
reductions.
IN THE MEDIUM TERM
1. Eliminate priority sector lending
target
2. Introduce floating interest rates
based on a market determined prime rate
3. Further recapitalise commercial
banks after internal restructuring and reorganisation to the Bank of
International Settlement (BIS) standards, perhaps through private sector
participation and
4. Allow private participation in the
Industrial Development Bank of India (IDBI) and the Industrial Finance
Corporation of India (IFCI) and also allow further private sector ownership
IN THE LONGER TERM
1. Allow completely market determined
interest rates and
2. Privatise commercial banks, development banks and money capital markets
In June 1990, on the eve of the second IMF loan,
the IMF issued its blue print for the process of bank privatisation (see box)
which, till today, each successive government has been following to the letter.
In 1991 the Narsimham Committee was appointed to chalk out the details towards
privatisation as per the IMF recommendations. In the same year licences for
private banking was issued resulting in the opening of 10 private banks by 1993.
Also, foreign banks were allowed to extend their branches all over the country.
To speed up the reforms the Narsimham Committee II was appointed by the United
Front government (notwithstanding the CPI/CPM anti-TNC rhetoric), which the BJP
government is implementing with a speed that makes the TNCs euphoric.
Till now, nearly 90% of the IMF ‘recommendations’
have been implemented. The dilution of government equity to 33%; the entry of
big business groups and write-off of the huge NPAs (bad debts); a further
reduction of staff; and then the final ‘strategic alliance’ with TNCs is what
remains.
This privatisation continues apace even though the
reforms period has been accompanied by massive banking scams — like the Harshad
Mehta scam, the Indian Bank scam, BCCI scam, Bhansali scandal etc — and the
collapse of 17 private banks. Indiscriminate licences have been issued even to
local areas, involving a capital of just Rs. 5 crores. In fact, in these 14
years of reforms, frauds, scams and outright loot has resulted in 17 private
banks being bailed out by the nationalised banks. These have been merged with
the PSBs, which have taken over their bad debts as well.
Besides, of the 10 new banks started in the 1990s,
seven are in a critical condition, and one — the Times Bank — has collapsed and
been taken over by the HDFC. Relative to their brief existence, most have
acquired disproportionately large NPAs (bad debts) through fraud and
mismanagement. The only two successful ones — HDFC and ICICI — have virtually
been taken over by foreign capital. The foreign stake in HDFC is 63% and is
increasing at a rapid pace, while that of ICICI has reached the ceiling of 49%.
What privatisation of PSBs will entail is clear from this picture of private
banking in the 1990s.
The steps outlined by the IMF (see box on the next
page) are being systematically implemented:
The so-called non-viable branches in the rural
areas are to be closed down. The Narasimham Committee II has suggested : to
bring down priority sector advance from the mandatory 40% to 10%; the stoppage
of all subsidised loans to the economically backward sections and the dilution
of government equity in PSBs to 34%. Earlier banks had to lend at the rate of 6%
to the agricultural and other priority sectors — now, they are not allowed to
lend below the ‘prime lending rate’, which is a minimum of 11%.
So we find that in the course of the 1990s the
Congress(I), UF, and BJP governments have systematically been implementing the
1990 ‘recommendations’ (rather instructions) of the IMF. If we look the two
Narsimham Committee reports, which have been the basis for government policy,
they are nothing but carbon copies of the 1990 IMF ‘recommendations’ !!
Why Privatisation ?
In the period of globalisation and increasing
domination of international finance capital, the model of development and the
focus for market expansion is the top 10% of the population. So all economic
policy is aimed at hitting hard the bottom 80 to 90%, in order to fatten the top
10%. So subsidy cuts, disbandment of PDS, drastic reduction in welfare measures,
etc., are geared to push the mass into even further destitution, and utilise
those funds to subsidise/promote big business, TNC interests, infrastructural
development etc, etc.
In addition, the green revolution is in crisis and
the banking structures that accompanied them are no longer required. Besides,
foreign agri-business plans to enter straight into the agricultural sector.
Finally, the bulk of the poverty alleviation schemes are being wound up or
reduced to nominal levels (or focussed in regions where people’s revolts exist),
so the banking structures that accompanied it are no longer required. Finally,
the tapping of people’s savings will be restricted, due to mass impoverisation;
and the 10% that will be able to invest their savings will be serviced by
private and foreign banks, with higher service charges.
So, the privatisation of banks is a necessary
aspect of the ongoing globalisation of the Indian economy. It will result in
massive retrenchment of staff, collapse of concessional loans to the priority
sectors (i.e., agriculture, handicrafts and small scale sector), putting the
vast domestic savings at the service of TNCs, closure of ‘non-viable’ branches
and throwing interest rates to the vagaries of the market.
Not only will such a step further infringe on the
sovereignty of the country, but will have a disastrous impact on the lives of
the people. But the rulers of our country, acting as the most vile agents of the
foreign powers, are pushing through this ‘reform’ at break-neck speed. They will
get bouquets from the likes of Clinton and Bush, but brickbats from the masses
of India.
|